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Used LCV market continues ‘blistering’ start to year as defleeting ramps up

The LCV wholesale sector continued to fly during February, with Cox Automotive reporting both record vehicle numbers and demand, supported by increased defleeting.

Matthew Davock, director of commercial vehicles at Cox Automotive

February outperformed an already strong January to establish a new five-year high in LCV arrivals; the year to date saw a total of 17,660 LCV units arrive through the Manheim Auction Services (MAS) and Manheim Vehicle Services (MVS) locations across the UK.

The record number of commercial vehicles was matched by record demand, with 84% selling first time (18% stronger than February 2022), a 1.2% increase on January’s performance. This resulted in a 6% year-on-year increase in wholesale volumes.

Matthew Davock, director of commercial vehicles, Manheim Auction Services, commented: “After a very busy and enthusiastic start to 2023, February did not disappoint. We’ve seen significant year-on-year volume increases throughout our fleet, lease, rental and finance portfolios. This surge aligns with the positive spike in new registrations; February was the strongest period since 1998 and an 8.5% increase versus February 2022. This is welcome news for the used market as it means the LCV assets that fleet operators have been hanging on to are now finally starting to be defleeted and pushed into the wholesale market channels.”

The average selling price across all vehicle categories remained strong at £9,107. Euro 5 or older represented two-fifths of the stock sold and achieved £4,499 on average, a +4.42% increase on guide values verses January, while Euro 6-compliant vans – representing 60% of stock sold – achieved an average hammer price of £12,165, a 0.57% improvement again against January’s price guide performance.

There were noticeable stock age and mileage changes – and Cox has said that wholesale van age and mileage dynamics are expected to play a significant role during the first half of this year.

February saw the oldest age profile on record, with vehicle age increasing to 75 months (six plus years of age). Sold stock was 5 months older vs January 23 and 13 months older vs February 22 on average, a significant change for the wholesale marketplace dynamics.

Defleeting of ‘pandemic-worn condition’ vans were again evident during February. Average mileage hit 81,132, representing a marginal increase compared to January 23, but most noticeable, half of the vans entered into sale showed an average mileage of 129,616 miles.

The 3–5-year-old category providing a ‘performance sweet spot’ though. These made up 32% of overall volume and achieved 109% of guide values on average while bearing an average recorded mileage of 69,103 miles.

Davock added: “Buyer feedback gathered during late February makes it clear that this has been the strongest start to a year for some considerable time, with eight out of 10 reporting overall consumer demand and health is much more positive. Overall buyer numbers at our auction events have been incredibly strong, with 18% more buyers being actively present vs year on year and catalogue views hitting the dizzy heights of 3,682 views per auction event for the month.

Cox also noted three key components that are underpinning current demand:

  1. The gap between a new and used van price today has never been so big. Used vans are on average are 38%-42% cheaper for a 2–3-year-old model versus its new equivalent, and a “humongous” 58%-60% cheaper for a 5-6 year used example in today’s wholesale marketplace.
  2. The ULEZ rollout is impacting certain areas of the country, with a number of dealers reporting increased Euro 6 demand from customer enquiries.
  3. As the financial year draws to an end and tax bills are settled, many buyers are reporting a positive sentiment from their customers, with many now looking to upgrade or add vehicles to meet either compliance or business demand health for 2023.

Davock concluded: “All in all, we’ve seen a blistering start for the used wholesale market and all the signs are this will continue throughout March and the commercial vehicle market will end the quarter in a very positive position.”

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Written by Natalie Middleton

Natalie has worked as a fleet journalist for over 20 years, previously as assistant editor on the former Company Car magazine before joining Fleet World in 2006. Prior to this, she worked on a range of B2B titles, including Insurance Age and Insurance Day.

Natalie edits all the Fleet World websites and newsletters, and loves to hear about any latest industry news.

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