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Used LCV values remain high as shortage continues, finds BCA

BCA found that values for the best presented vans typically outstripping price guide expectations by some margin. For the second month running, year-on-year values across the board are up by nearly 10% as the relative shortage of retail quality LCVs continues.

The average value of a van sold at BCA in October was £5,615, the third highest monthly value on record. Demand was broad based throughout the month, with any vehicle offered with the combination of a good colour, specification and condition attracting attention from buyers.

Fleet & lease and nearly new values also increased over the month, while part-exchange values fell back by just £17 from October’s record level.  Year-on-year values remain well ahead by £506 (9.9%), with age and mileage falling.  Performance against CAP was down by just over half a point compared to 2013.

Year-on-year table: All vans

All vans Av. Age (Months) Av. Mileage Av. Values Sales vs CAP
Nov 2013 60.95 81,951 £5,109 103.42%
Nov 2014 57.75 78,858 £5,615 102.71%

BCA’s general manager – commercial vehicles, Duncan Ward, commented: 'November maintained the pattern we have seen throughout 2014, with high levels of demand for the best quality stock and often exceptional prices being achieved.

'While low mileage, clean examples remain hard to find, buyers are happy to bid strongly on higher mileage or older vehicles if the condition and specification is good.  However, we are seeing greater numbers of hard-worked ex-corporate stock reaching the market in often quite poor condition – these vehicles need to be properly appraised and realistically valued to attract the buyers.'

Values for fleet and lease LCVs averaged £6,580 in November – an increase of £53 (0.8%) over October’s value – with CAP performance averaging 101.8% and retained value against Manufacturer Recommended Price increasing to 37.44%.

Year-on-year, values were down by £240, which BCA said was a reflection on the fact that values were exceptionally high in November 2013 and remain the second highest on record.    

Year-on-year table: Fleet & lease vans

Fleet/Lease

Av. Age (months)

Av. Mileage

Av. Value

Sale vs CAP

Sale vs MRP

Nov 2013

 41.58

68,039

£6,820

 103.23%  38.40%

Nov 2014

41.25

69,477

£6,580

101.83% 37.44% 

Part-exchange LCV values fell back by £17 from October’s record level to £3,858, the second highest monthly average value recorded in this sector since Pulse began reporting.

Year-on-year values remain ahead by £404 or 11.6%, with the average van being five months older but a similar mileage compared to last year. 

 Year-on-year table: Part-Ex vans

Part-Ex

Av. Age (months)

Av. Mileage

Av. Value

Sale vs CAP

Nov 2013

 78.55

95,637

£3,454

 104.12%

Nov 2014

 83.44

95,641

£3,858

105.59% 

BCA found that nearly-new LCV values averaged £13,208 in November,  a rise of £381 (2.9%) compared to October with CAP comparisons improving to 99.16% over the month. As always, this has to be taken in the context of the very low volumes reaching the market and the model mix factor. 

Nearly-new

Av. Age (months)

Av. Mileage

Av. Value

Sale vs CAP

Nov 2014

 9.12

10,851

£13,208

 99.16%

 

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